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Markets/Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
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Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?

2%YES
98%NO
Vol 24h$378
Liquidity$13K
Bid / Ask2% / 2%
Spread0.20pp
ClosesMay 20, 2026

FM Estimate

2%

Market Price

2%
Aligned
Macro fundamentals-5.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. the Indian National Congress (INC): 46%, the Indian National Congress (INC): 2%, the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML): 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~52%.

Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in th
46%

Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in th

2%
Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win the most seats in
0%
Kerala Congress (M) (KEC(M)) win the most seats in the
0%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $378 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20pp. The market closes on May 20, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1003194