Prediction market intelligence. Institutional grade.
Cross-venue mispricings, fundamental signal engine, and AI synthesis — used by analysts who need to be right.
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Today's market prices the outcome at 53% YES and 47% NO with 627 days until resolution, with $154K in 24-hour trading volume. This places the market in the upper probability range, reflecting genuine uncertainty.
Markets where current prices deviate from what macro fundamentals suggest. Gap = market price − fair value implied by rates, FX, and volatility data.
Markets where prices lag macro signals — rates, FX, VIX, and equity moves that historically predict direction.
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Real-money price gaps between Polymarket and Kalshi — where two informed markets genuinely disagree.
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Metaculus superforecasters disagree with Polymarket crowds by 8pp+. Historical edge: experts win ~62% of the time.
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32% of traders believe Bitcoin will be above $72,000 on April 12, a significant 43.0 per…
This indicates a waning bullish sentiment for Bitcoin's immediate price action.