Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
2%YES
98%NO
Vol 24h$5
Liquidity$6K
Bid / Ask1% / 3%
Spread1.90pp
ClosesMay 31, 2026
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.90pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1124642