US x China Military clash before 2027?
10%YES
90%NO
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$28K
Bid / Ask9% / 10%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesDec 31, 2026
FM Estimate
10%Market Price
10%Aligned
Macro fundamentals+2.1pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US x China Military clash before 2027?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-19). "US x China Military clash before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1179940