Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?
20%YES
80%NO
Vol 24h$148
Liquidity$13K
Bid / Ask18% / 21%
Spread3.00pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026
FM Estimate
17%Market Price
20%↑ Overpriced 2.7pp
Macro fundamentals-5.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?" at 20% YES / 80% NO. In the last 24 hours, $148 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 20%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 20%, NO 80%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1283065