Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
Market Price
85%YES
FM Estimate
83%
NO15%
Vol 24h$13K
Liquidity$31K
Bid / Ask83% / 86%
Spread3.00pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026
Macro fundamentals-3.1pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 85%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1284009