Markets/Will Trump meet with King of Morocco Mohammed VI in March 2026?

Will Trump meet with King of Morocco Mohammed VI in March 2026?

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 11:47 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES

100%NO

Volume 24h

$25

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

0% / 1%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump meet with King of Morocco Mohammed VI in March 2026?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Trump meet with King of Morocco Mohammed VI in March 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1455575

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.