Markets/Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 06:46 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

65%YES

36%NO

Volume 24h

$686

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

64% / 66%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

65%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks

Full event →

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5

83%

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5

65%

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

55%

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks

38%

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5

32%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 65%99%

Buy YES@ 65¢

Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%

½ Kelly0.7%

Buy NO@ 36¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5" at 65% YES / 35% NO. In the last 24 hours, $686 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 65%, NO 35%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492918

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.