Markets/Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5

Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 11:43 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

76%YES

24%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

75% / 77%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

76%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Blues vs. Sharks

Full event →

Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5

76%

Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5

54%

Blues vs. Sharks

51%

Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5

42%

Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5

23%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

76% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

76% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 76%99%

Buy YES@ 76¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 24¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492922

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.