Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5
Closed March 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$63K
Liquidity
$87K
Bid / Ask
13% / 20%
Spread
7.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Event Distribution
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
33% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: -19.5pp
34% → 14%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
14% YES (-19.5pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $63K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1494646
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.