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Markets/Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
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Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Closes April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

0% / 1%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1503864

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian P: 23%, another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian P: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~77%.

another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamenta
23%

another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamenta

0%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

0% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.1pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this