Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Capitals vs. Devils
Closed April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.1M
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
11% / 12%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
13%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Capitals vs. Devils" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Capitals vs. Devils." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515656
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 5.5: 100%, Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 4.5: 100%, Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5: 96%.
Capitals vs. Devils
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -36.0pp
49% → 13%
Apr 3, 2026
Current
13% YES (-36.0pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this