ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Flames vs. Golden Knights
Share on X

Flames vs. Golden Knights

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$736K

Liquidity

$709K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Flames vs. Golden Knights" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $736K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Flames vs. Golden Knights." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515686

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5): 100%, Flames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5: 100%, Flames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket0%anchor
kalshi_sports

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-22.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

32% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: -29.0pp

39% → 10%

Apr 3, 2026

Peak probability

52% YES — highest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Current

10% YES (-29.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this