Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Blues vs. Ducks
Closed April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$855K
Liquidity
$52K
Bid / Ask
99% / 99%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
96%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Blues vs. Ducks" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $855K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 96%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Blues vs. Ducks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1524908
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5: 100%, Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5: 99%, Blues vs. Ducks: 96%.
Blues vs. Ducks
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
45% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
63%
Apr 4, 2026
Biggest move: +33.6pp
63% → 96%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
96% YES (+33.6pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this