Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Penguins vs. Devils
Closed April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.3M
Liquidity
$360K
Bid / Ask
93% / 94%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
74%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Penguins vs. Devils" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.3M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 74%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Penguins vs. Devils." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1576093
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Penguins vs. Devils: 100%, Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 4.5: 100%, Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5: 93%.
Penguins vs. Devils
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 9, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
67%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +17.5pp
50% → 67%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
75% YES (+7.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this