ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Wild vs. Stars
Share on X

Wild vs. Stars

Closed April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$846K

Liquidity

$898K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wild vs. Stars" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $846K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Wild vs. Stars." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1576118

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5: 100%, Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5: 100%, Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+25.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

65%

Apr 10, 2026

Biggest move: +18.5pp

47% → 65%

Apr 10, 2026

Current

72% YES (+6.5pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this