ForecastMind
Markets/Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
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Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5

Closes April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

49%YES
52%NO

Volume 24h

$33K

Liquidity

$135K

Bid / Ask

48% / 49%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $33K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598501

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5: 61%, Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5: 49%, Oilers vs. Kings: 48%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

49% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 49%99%
Buy YES@ 49¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 52¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this