ForecastMind
Markets/Wild vs. Blues
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Wild vs. Blues

Closes April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES
62%NO

Volume 24h

$1.1M

Liquidity

$536K

Bid / Ask

37% / 38%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

38%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wild vs. Blues" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Wild vs. Blues." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628331

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Wild vs. Blues: O/U 5.5: 52%, Wild vs. Blues: O/U 6.5: 41%, Wild vs. Blues: 39%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-6.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

44% YES

Apr 13, 2026

Current

38% YES (-2.0pp recent)

Apr 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 39%99%
Buy YES@ 39¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 62¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this