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Markets/Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
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Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Market Price

6%YES
94%NO

FM Estimate

51%
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$1K
ClosesJun 16, 2026
Macro fundamentals+1.5pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets4 markets

4 deadline markets. Combined YES = 153% — 53pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps aft

50%
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the Jun

50%

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps af

6%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+49.0pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The market closes on June 16, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-28). "Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1654196