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Markets/Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?
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Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?

Market Price

2%YES
98%NO

FM Estimate

5%
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$4K
Bid / Ask3% / 4%
Spread0.70pp
ClosesJun 19, 2026
Macro fundamentals+3.9pp
Historical patterns-0.4pp

low confidence · 2 signals

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Outcome Markets3 markets

3 deadline markets, spanning the full probability space.

Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after th

Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June

79%
Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate

Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after

18%

Bank of Russia increase the key rate after th

Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June

2%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+0.0pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70pp. The market closes on June 19, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-28). "Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1654933