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Markets/Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
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Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

10%YES
90%NO

Volume 24h

$106

Liquidity

$322

Expert Signal

10%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Full event →
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
100%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
10%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
2%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
0%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
0%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
0%

7 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 10%99%
Buy YES@ 10¢
Edge

+2.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 90¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+2.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $106 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1659890

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.