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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
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Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$946

Liquidity

$3K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $946 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1668584

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from March 24 to Mar: 0%, White House post 200+ posts from March 24 to : 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~100%.

Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from March 24 to March 31, 202

0%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
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+0.0%

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this