Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?
Closes April 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$52
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $52 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1693059
This event has 6 active outcome markets. April 30: 5%, April 30: 4%, April 30: 4%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~76%.
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+12.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this