ForecastMind
Markets/Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

73%YES
28%NO

Volume 24h

$465K

Liquidity

$191K

Bid / Ask

72% / 73%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

73%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Full event →
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
74%
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5
51%
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5
48%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

72% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

73% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 73%99%
Buy YES@ 73¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.8%
½ Kelly0.9%
Buy NO@ 28¢

-1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Timberwolves vs. Mavericks" at 73% YES / 27% NO. In the last 24 hours, $465K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 73%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Timberwolves vs. Mavericks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 73%, NO 27%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1704247

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.