ForecastMind
Markets/Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

83%YES
18%NO

Volume 24h

$716K

Liquidity

$14K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $716K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711616

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 83%, Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5: 0%, Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~17%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+42.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

55%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +22.0pp

61% → 83%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

83% YES (+22.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 83%99%
Buy YES@ 83¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.9%
½ Kelly1.4%
Buy NO@ 18¢

-2.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this