ForecastMind
Markets/Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

33%YES
68%NO

Volume 24h

$497K

Liquidity

$47K

Expert Signal

65%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" at 33% YES / 67% NO. In the last 24 hours, $497K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 33%, NO 67%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711628

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dod: 100%, Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: : 50%, Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 33%.

NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
50%

Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

33%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
12%

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+61.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

39% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

61%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +39.5pp

61% → 100%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

100% YES (+39.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 33%99%
Buy YES@ 33¢
Edge

+1.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 68¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this