Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?
Closes April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$208K
Liquidity
$766K
Bid / Ask
44% / 45%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
46%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $208K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1713160
This event has 11 active outcome markets. FC Bayern München: 100%, SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5: 100%, SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5: 100%.
FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this