ForecastMind
Markets/Raptors vs. Pistons
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Raptors vs. Pistons

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

42%YES
59%NO

Volume 24h

$745K

Liquidity

$287K

Bid / Ask

41% / 42%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

42%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Raptors vs. Pistons" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $745K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Raptors vs. Pistons." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1716625

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5: 53%, Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5: 49%, Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline: 43%.

Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
53%
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
49%
Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline
43%

Raptors vs. Pistons

42%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Current

43% YES (+2.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 42%99%
Buy YES@ 42¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 59¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this