Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Knicks vs. Rockets
Closed April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.7M
Liquidity
$97K
Bid / Ask
24% / 25%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
25%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Knicks vs. Rockets" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.7M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Knicks vs. Rockets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1716626
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Knicks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 112.5: 100%, Knicks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 111.5: 100%, Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5: 54%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Mar 31, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
51% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this