Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$323K
Bid / Ask
74% / 75%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
75%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5" at 75% YES / 25% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 75%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 75%, NO 25%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1718895
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5: 75%, Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Sco: 54%, Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5: 50%.
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
76% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
75% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-2.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this