ForecastMind
Markets/LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winner
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LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winner

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

75%YES
26%NO

Volume 24h

$94K

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

95% / 97%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

75%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winner" at 75% YES / 25% NO. In the last 24 hours, $94K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 75%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 75%, NO 25%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1727586

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner: 100%, LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winn: 100%, LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winner: 75%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 75%99%
Buy YES@ 75¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.0%
½ Kelly1.0%
Buy NO@ 26¢

-2.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this