ForecastMind
Markets/Spurs vs. Warriors
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Spurs vs. Warriors

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

89%YES
12%NO

Volume 24h

$457K

Liquidity

$923K

Bid / Ask

88% / 89%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

89%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spurs vs. Warriors" at 89% YES / 11% NO. In the last 24 hours, $457K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 89%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Spurs vs. Warriors." Prediction market snapshot: YES 89%, NO 11%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1730084

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Spurs vs. Warriors: 89%, Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5: 56%, Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5: 53%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

88% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

89% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 89%99%
Buy YES@ 89¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.3%
½ Kelly2.2%
Buy NO@ 12¢

-4.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this