Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
14% / 16%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
11%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731413
This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 2?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 2?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 2?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
17% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: -5.5pp
24% → 18%
Apr 1, 2026
Peak probability
24% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
15% YES (-3.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this