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Markets/Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
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Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

Closes April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$717K

Liquidity

$519K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $717K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1742277

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: 100%, Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4: 100%, Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+59.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

53%

Apr 2, 2026

Biggest move: +40.0pp

60% → 99%

Apr 2, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this