ForecastMind
Markets/Timberwolves vs. Pistons
Share on X

Timberwolves vs. Pistons

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

40%YES
61%NO

Volume 24h

$400K

Liquidity

$341K

Bid / Ask

39% / 40%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

40%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Timberwolves vs. Pistons" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $400K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Timberwolves vs. Pistons." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1742598

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5: 53%, Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5: 51%, Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5: 47%.

Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5
53%
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5
51%
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5
47%

Timberwolves vs. Pistons

40%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

40% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

40% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 40%99%
Buy YES@ 40¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 61¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this