Lakers vs. Thunder
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$935K
Liquidity
$285K
Bid / Ask
24% / 25%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
25%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Lakers vs. Thunder" at 25% YES / 75% NO. In the last 24 hours, $935K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Lakers vs. Thunder." Prediction market snapshot: YES 25%, NO 75%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1742613
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5: 63%, Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5: 59%, Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5: 56%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
26% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
25% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this