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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 3?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 3?

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

28%YES
72%NO

Volume 24h

$27K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

26% / 28%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 3?" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743629

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 62%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 28%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 11%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

22% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

23% YES (+3.5pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 28%99%
Buy YES@ 28¢

-1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 72¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.8%
½ Kelly0.9%
Buy NO+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this