Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?
Closed April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$754K
Liquidity
$340K
Bid / Ask
16% / 17%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $754K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1745426
This event has 5 active outcome markets. SC Freiburg: 100%, Crystal Palace FC: 99%, FC Porto: 47%.
FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
43% YES (-5.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this