ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
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Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$223K

Liquidity

$429K

Bid / Ask

31% / 32%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

32%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $223K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1770238

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to: 100%, Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5: 100%, Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5: 85%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+10.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

20% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: +9.0pp

21% → 30%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

30% YES (+9.0pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this