ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?
Share on X

Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$323K

Liquidity

$702K

Bid / Ask

11% / 12%

Spread

0.60pp

Expert Signal

11%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $323K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1771809

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O: 100%, FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O: 100%, FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-3.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

17% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: -5.0pp

17% → 12%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

13% YES (+1.7pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this