ForecastMind
Markets/LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
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LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Closes April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$373K

Liquidity

$751K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $373K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1773254

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL: 27%, LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - L: 0%, LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - : 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~73%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-53.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Apr 4, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 4, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

34%

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: -33.5pp

34% → 0%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this