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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)

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Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 11:47 PM UTC

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES

0%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$18K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)

Full event →

Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)

100%

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 1

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+57.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

43% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +30.0pp

70% → 100%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

100% YES (+30.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 99%99%

Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1779371

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.