Markets/Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)

Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 11:43 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

43%YES

57%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

42% / 44%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

43%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Canucks vs. Golden Knights

Full event →

Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5

82%

Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5

63%

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

57%

Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

50%

Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)

43%

Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5

30%

Canucks vs. Golden Knights

26%

7 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

44% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

44% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 43%99%

Buy YES@ 43¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 57¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1781876

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.