ForecastMind
Markets/Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5
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Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

56%YES
45%NO

Volume 24h

$35K

Liquidity

$93K

Bid / Ask

55% / 56%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Celtics vs. Hawks

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+4.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

55% YES (+2.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 56%99%
Buy YES@ 56¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.6%
Buy NO@ 44¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1784156

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.