ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
Share on X

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$133K

Liquidity

$243K

Bid / Ask

55% / 56%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

56%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $133K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1784713

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5): 100%, Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5): 100%, Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5): 100%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+48.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +19.0pp

70% → 89%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

100% YES (+11.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this