ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5
Share on X

Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES
95%NO

Volume 24h

$96K

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

16% / 19%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

6%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $96K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1785189

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5: 9%, Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5: 8%, Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5: 6%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~76%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-27.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -31.0pp

51% → 20%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

20% YES (-31.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 6%99%
Buy YES@ 6¢
Edge

+9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+9.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this