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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5
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Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES
48%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$19

Bid / Ask

6% / 97%

Spread

91.00pp

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5

Full event →
Paul George: Points O/U 17.5
54%
Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5
52%
Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5
50%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-31.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

61% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

34%

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

62%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -32.5pp

62% → 29%

Mar 31, 2026

Peak probability

76% YES — highest in period

Mar 30, 2026

Current

29% YES (-32.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 52%99%
Buy YES@ 52¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 48¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 91.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786032

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.