ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5
Share on X

LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$2

Bid / Ask

8% / 97%

Spread

89.00pp

Expert Signal

53%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 89.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786076

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5: 100%, James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5: 100%, LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5: 54%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

55% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Trough probability

35% YES — lowest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

35%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -20.5pp

55% → 35%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

53% YES (+18.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 54%99%
Buy YES@ 54¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 47¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this