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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 30?
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Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 30?

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$97K

Liquidity

$0

Bid / Ask

8% / 10%

Spread

2.20pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 30?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $97K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786334

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-50.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

15%

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: -36.0pp

51% → 15%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this