Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2.8M
Liquidity
$47K
Bid / Ask
45% / 46%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
46%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.8M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786388
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Manchester City FC: 100%, Chelsea FC: 27%, Le Havre AC: 24%.
Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
50% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this